Sanders looks strong in Wisconsin tomorrow (April 5th), and will most likely win Wyoming on the 9th, but after that the map favors Clinton. I've put together some of the contests where she is favored (all numbers are RCP averages at the current time):
April 19
New York: Clinton +11 (even after the "Sanders surge" she's still up by double digits)
April 26
Connecticut: Clinton +15.5
Delaware--no polls, but it's a closed primary (which are seen as favorable to Clinton)
Maryland: Clinton +31.4
Pennsylvania: Clinton +27.5
Rhode Island--no polls, but it's a semi-closed primary (see Delaware)
May will be a good month for Sanders--West Virginia will go to him, and Oregon will probably go to him as well. Kentucky and Indiana are toss-ups that he could (and may be demographically favored to) take. But in June there are a few more contests where Clinton is favored:
June 5
Puerto Rico--no polls, though many people believe this to be a lock for Clinton based on her strong support among Hispanics
June 7
California: Clinton +9
New Jersey: Clinton +31
June 14
Washington, D.C--no polls, but widely considered to be a lock for Clinton
Sanders' supporters may lean on the common perception that Clinton "consistently underperforms", but this is a myth easily dispelled when one looks as past contests. While people can point to states like Iowa and Illinois, where Clinton's wins were by slimmer margins than the polls showed, this ignores the many contest in which she has overperformed, such as Louisiana, Texas and Nevada. In Mississippi and South Carolina her victory margins were more than 20 points higher than the polls predicted.
To paraphrase Mark Twain, the rumors of Hillary Clinton's political death have been greatly exaggerated.
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